In November’s midterm elections, young voters—who have been crucial to Democrats’ victories in recent elections—showed signals that their passion may be diminishing.
Washington, D.C. In the midterm elections in November, young voters who have been crucial to Democratic victories in recent elections showed hints that their passion may be dwindling, which might be a red flag for a party that will require their strong support going into the 2024 presidential election.
According to AP VoteCast, a comprehensive national survey of the electorate, voters under 30 supported Democratic House candidates nationwide by 53% to 41%. But compared to 2020, when the same voters preferred President Joe Biden over his counterpart, Donald Trump, 61% to 36%, support for Democrats was down. Additionally, people aged 18 to 29 supported the Democratic Party 64% more than the Republican Party in 2018, when Democrats used a midterm surge to win control of the House.
Despite this, Biden’s party outperformed forecasts, keeping the Senate and losing only a slight Republican House majority. The president praised young voters’ participation as “historic.” However, the overall trend for younger voters may be an early sign of the Democrats’ difficulty in sustaining the coalition of Black people, women, voters with college degrees, urban residents, and suburbanites that have boosted the party in the years since Trump was elected president.
Any weakness within the voting group could have an impact on the upcoming presidential election. On election day in 2024, when he will be a few weeks away from being 82, Biden says he plans to run for president once again. The 76-year-old Trump has already declared his candidacy.
Michael McDonald, a political science professor at the University of Florida and an authority on voting and data, claimed that “There might have been retrenchment in youth voters.”
McDonald urged people not to make assumptions about anomalies. But he added that factors like high inflation, which has affected young people particularly hard because their incomes are less likely to increase quickly enough to keep up with rising prices, may have contributed to the shift.
“Youngest people also have the weakest partisan attachments, so they can be more susceptible to partisan swings nationally,” according to McDonald. “There’s no reason why Republicans can’t rebound among younger people.”
More on this story via Breitbart:
Indeed, VoteCast shows only about a quarter of Democrats under 30 say being a Democrat is “extremely” or “very” important to them, compared with roughly a third of older Democrats.
The data showed that voters under 30 did not support Democrats decisively enough to sway key races nationally, but the news wasn’t all bad for the party. Midterm voters under 45 — an age bracket that includes Generation Z and millennials — backed Biden’s party at rates that exceeded his 2020 support in races for governor of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Kansas, as well as the race for Senate in Pennsylvania. CONTINUE READING…