According to recent polling, even the most deeply blue states are moving closer to the red, so the country should brace itself for significant swings in the November midterm election results.
“It is entirely within the realm of possibility that voters could elect a Republican governor in the historically blue state of Oregon next month, Scott Rasmussen of Rasmussen Reports, a polling firm known for its accuracy, said this week. In fact, “the most surprising event” of the 2022 election cycle is the Oregon governor’s race, Rasmussen told Just the News last week.” Jon Doughtery of Conservative Brief noted.
I never would have predicted that I would be speculating about a potential Republican governor for Oregon.
He continued by saying that the race there is a three-way race, which is why it is so tight.
“You’ve got a wealthy, independent, former Democrat,” Rasmussen said. “You’ve got a really unpopular Democratic governor who’s leaving. You’ve got all the craziness in Portland. So right now, there’s a chance that a Republican could sneak into the governor’s office. That will be wild.”
The outlet went on to say:
Republican nominee Christine Drazan is up against Tina Kotek of the Democratic Party and Betsy Johnson, a former Democrat who is now running as an independent.
According to Rasmussen’s news polls, many Democratic contenders are attempting to separate themselves from President Biden, who is largely regarded as a political liability because of his dismal approval ratings:
In the race for governor of Oregon, Tina Kotek behind Christine Drazan by two points.
(R) Drazan, Christine 37% (+2)
(D) 35% Tina Kotek (I) 17% for Betsy Johnson
“The President’s numbers overall are toxic,” the seasoned pollster said. “Democrats don’t want to campaign with him. And I suspect after the election, he’ll have some trouble getting calls returned.”
Rasmussen’s appraisal of the election in Oregon is representative of what is happening, it seems, across the nation.
In Michigan, for instance, the Republican candidate for governor, Tudor Dixon, has overturned a 17-point lead that Whitmer had over the summer to statistically tie with the incumbent Democratic governor, Gretchen Whitmer.
Additionally, Just the News stated:
In reaction to the survey question of who you would vote for if the election were conducted today, Dixon received 47.9% of the vote, compared to Whitmer’s 48.4%, according to the Michigan News Source/Trafalgar poll issued on Sunday.
The new Michigan News Source/Trafalgar survey is included in the RealClearPolitics.com poll average, which gives Whitmer a 2.6-point advantage. The website also reveals that in late August, Whitmer held the highest lead of the contest—17 points.
In the face of persistent inflation, significant losses to 401(k) retirement savings for individuals, rapidly rising interest rates, and what detractors refer to as a wide-open southwestern border, Democrats have significantly lost political capital with people nationwide.
More on this story via The Republic Brief:
In fact, early voting numbers are not looking good for House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Democrats, indicating she may be handing over her gavel to the GOP in January.
In 2020, “just 44,000 votes in Georgia, Arizona, and Wisconsin separated Biden and Trump from a tie in the Electoral College,” NPR’s Domenico Montanaro said, narrowly handing President Joe Biden his victory over then-President Donald Trump. Biden’s victory was due, in part, to early voting by Democrats, according to analysts who add that Republican voters tend to show up on Election Day. But this year, more Republicans are voting early, leading some to believe that a “red wave” is imminent. CONTINUE READING…