One peculiarity of the midterm elections in Arizona was that, in Maricopa County, the Republican turnout increased and the Democratic turnout decreased from the previous year, despite some of the top-of-the-ticket Republican candidates losing their races.
The county, which contains the Phoenix metro region, has 60% of the state’s registered voters.
In Arizona, Republicans outnumber Democrats by more than 166,000.
According to Scott Jarrett, the county’s director of election day, who gave an election summary at the county Board of Supervisors meeting on Monday, Maricopa County had a 64.2 percent voter turnout rate in the midterm elections, which was about 8 percent higher than the average 56.3 percent dating back to the 1970s.
That wasn’t quite as high as the 64.5 percent participation rate in the 2018 midterm elections, though.
According to Jarrett, 75.4 percent of Republicans cast ballots in this month’s election. At 74.2 percent in 2018, the GOP turnout was more than 1 percentage point lower.
Democrats turned out less than Republicans this year compared to last year: 68.5 percent vs 69.9 percent.
Katie Hobbs, the secretary of state of Arizona and a Democratic candidate for governor, defeated Republican Kari Lake despite a lower Democratic turnout than in 2018.
Sen. Mark Kelly, a Democrat, also defeated Republican opponent Blake Masters.
Although the contest is going to a recount, Democratic candidate for attorney general Kris Mayes had a lead of roughly 500 votes over Republican Abe Hamadeh.
In 2022, according to Maricopa County:
75.4% of Republicans turned out, up from 2018
68.5% of Democrats turned out, down from 2018
There are more registered Republicans (1,436,852) than Democrats (1,270,544) in AZ
Yet…no GOP candidate benefited (Except the treasurer!😂) pic.twitter.com/4fJsV9EuH7
— Liz Harrington (@realLizUSA) November 28, 2022
The Kelly win had a rationale. He is the current representative, an astronaut, a member of the Navy, and the spouse of former Arizona U.S. Rep. Gabby Giffords, who was wounded gravely and permanently in a 2011 murder attempt.
Even though Kelly voted 94.5 percent of the time with President Joe Biden, who is extremely unpopular, there is understandably a lot of goodwill toward him among Democrats and, it appears, independents as well.
Last month, Kelly led Biden in the Grand Canyon State, 49 percent to 42 percent, while Biden’s favorable rating was at 36 percent.
Independents supported Kelly 55 percent to 39 percent, a plus-16 advantage, according to exit polling.
Prior to Election Day, the RealClearPolitics polling average had the contest fairly much even. A margin of about 125,000 votes gave Kelly the victory, 51.4 percent to Masters’ 46.5 percent.
More on this story via The Western Journal:
Less understandable is the Hobbs win over Lake for the open governor’s seat. The Republican candidate held the lead in nearly every poll in the month-and-a-half period leading into the election and had a 3.5 percent advantage in the RCP average, yet Hobbs won by about 17,000 votes.
The Democratic candidate, like Kelly, carried independents, but by a smaller margin of 7 percent, 52 percent to 45 percent.
One explanation for Lake coming up short in the vote tally, and what her campaign has pointed to, is the chaos that happened in Maricopa County on Election Day, when ballot tabulators and ballot printers were not functioning at 71 polling locations, according to the county — though the Lake campaign puts the number at 114, or 53 percent of the sites. CONTINUE READING…