It is becoming evident that the United States is facing a political shift. In recent years, thousands of suburban swing voters have defected from the Democratic Party to the Republican Party.
More than one million voters have defected to the Republican Party in 43 states over the past year, according to the Associated Press. In the months since Joe Biden succeeded Donald Trump as president, a phenomena has evolved in nearly every corner of the country, including Democratic and Republican states, cities, and small towns.
There is no region where the shift is more obvious – and therefore more hazardous for Democrats – than in the suburbs, where educated swing voters who previously voted against Trump are suddenly flipping. From Denver to Atlanta to Pittsburgh and Cleveland, the number of suburban counties transferring to the Republican Party has increased dramatically over the past year. Counties such as Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, Raleigh, North Carolina, Augusta, Georgia, and Des Moines, Iowa are among those where the Republicans made gains.
According to the Associated Press, “nearly 1.7 million voters who had likely switched affiliations across 42 states for which there is data over the last 12 months, according to L2, a political data firm. L2 uses a combination of state voter records and statistical modeling to determine party affiliation, meaning that the switchers include both those who have formally changed their registration and those who L2 estimates have shifted toward the GOP.”
While party switching is not uncommon, the data shows a definite reversal from the period while Trump was in office, when Democrats enjoyed a slight edge in the number of party switchers nationwide.
Approximately two-thirds of the 1.7 million voters who switched parties in the past year joined the Republican Party. More over one million persons joined the Republican party, compared to around 630,000 who joined the Democratic party.
“The broad migration of more than 1 million voters, a small portion of the overall U.S. electorate, does not ensure widespread Republican success in the November midterm elections, which will determine control of Congress and dozens of governorships. Democrats are hoping the Supreme Court’s decision on Friday to overrule Roe v. Wade will energize supporters, particularly in the suburbs, ahead of the midterms, according to an AP story.
Florida is a state with a significant number of party switchers.
For the second consecutive year, the Florida Division of Elections reports that Republicans registered 175,911 more voters than Democrats.
According to figures from the Florida Division of Elections as of May 31, there were 5,135,749 registered Republicans and 4,959,749 registered Democrats. Since the previous major election cycle in the United States, 82,900 additional Republican voters have joined the Florida GOP.
According to the state’s voter registration data, Florida is gradually shifting from a strongly blue to a thoroughly conservative state. The Florida swing state may cease to exist after 2022, according to Politico.
As of now, Republicans now outnumber Democrats by 165,911 voters in Florida. I’m calling on all voter registration groups to assist me in getting Democratic voters registered. If we are to have a chance, we need voters. Who still believes in the power of our collective votes?
— Allen Ellison Democrat for US Congress Florida (@AllenLEllison) June 27, 2022
According to The Daily Caller, “Hispanic voters have steadily been shifting toward the Republican Party, as demonstrated by the recent victory of Texas Republican Rep. Mayra Flores and former President Trump’s support among members of the Hispanic community. In April, polling showed that only a quarter of Hispanics approved of Biden, with many citing the poor economy as reasoning for their disapproval of him and the Democratic Party.”
Polling and the mass migration of registrations are spelling trouble for the Democratic Party come this November, according to FiveThirtyEight. Republican Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and Republican Florida Sen. Marco Rubio are “clearly favored to win” in this year’s upcoming election.
More on this story via The Republic Brief:
During the last few days, Agriculture Commissioner Nikki Fried has been encouraging her supporters to switch their registrations to Democratic so they can vote for her over rival Rep. Charlie Crist in the Democratic primary on Aug. 23.
Yet voter registration numbers show Democrats falling far behind in the overall race. As evidence of Republican confidence, it also demonstrates President Joe Biden’s struggles and Gov. Ron DeSantis’ high approval rating in a state where Republicans are widely expected to dominate. CONTINUE READING…