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    Giant Red Flag Hanging Over The GOP’s 2022 Senate Hopes

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    In addition to their scores in the polls, contenders for the forthcoming midterm elections are concerned about fundraising.

    Elections experts utilize in-state donations as a proxy for grassroots support and voter excitement, and according to this statistic, five Republican Senate hopefuls are suffering.

    In November, Republicans are predicted to retake the House of Representatives, but candidate recruiting and funding difficulties might prevent them from capturing a seat in the equally divided Senate.

    The most probable outcome, according to FiveThirtyEight’s Senate model, is another 50-50 split between the parties.

    “Democrats are simply out-fundraising Republicans. They pioneered small-dollar donations online, and while Republicans have made efforts to catch up, it’s just still not on par.

    “Democrats are simply out-fundraising Republicans. They pioneered small-dollar donations online, and while Republicans have made efforts to catch up, it’s just still not on par.

    “I think the most probable is a Democrat gain of zero or Republicans picking up two seats.”

    All Republican candidates in Ohio, Pennsylvania, Georgia, Nevada, and North Carolina have raised less money than their out-of-state Democratic opponents.

    Tim Ryan of Ohio and John Fetterman of Pennsylvania have raised more money in-state as a proportion of their total contributions than their respective opponents, J.D. Vance and Mehmet Oz.

    With the backing of former President Donald Trump, Vance got 32% of the vote in a field of seven candidates.

    Now, the former venture investor and best-selling author is “running the worst campaign that you could possibly run,” according to Youngstown talk radio commentator Ron Verb.

    “The environment is still a Republican environment. Ohio is a pretty red state, albeit a lighter shade of red,” one analyst told the Caller.

    The Senate Leadership Fund, a McConnell-affiliated Super PAC, said Thursday that it will spend $28 million on pro-Vance television and radio advertisements. The Minority Leader voiced fear that the GOP would not regain control of the Senate in November, attributing the party’s difficulties on the caliber of its candidates.

    Mehmet Oz, a candidate for the Pennsylvania Senate, has had better success gathering donations from out-of-state contributors than in-state ones.

    Less than 3% of Oz’s total donations, or $19 million, have come from Pennsylvanians.

    More on this story via The Republic Brief:

    In contrast, opponent Fetterman has raised $3.2 million in-state and $26 million overall. This race is the one “most likely to flip,” Taylor added.

    The Fetterman campaign has repeatedly portrayed Oz as a carpetbagger, trolling him on Twitter and calling attention to his residence in northern New Jersey.

    Early polls have shown the attacks to be effective, with Fetterman leading Oz in polls by as many as nine points, even as a stroke has kept Fetterman off the campaign trail. CONTINUE READING…

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