White suburban women have now shifted strongly to the right in the current electoral cycle after helping the Democrats win the House in the 2018 midterm elections and fueling Joe Biden’s victory in the 2020 presidential race.
According to a Wednesday Wall Street Journal article, the GOP currently has a 15 percentage point lead among these group of voters, who make up 20% of the electorate.
That is a 27 point change from the Journal’s poll from August.
The move seems to be being driven by the economy.
According to Republican pollster Tony Fabrizio, “We’re talking about a collapse, if you will, in that group on the perceptions of the economy,”. Together with Democratic pollster John Anzalone, Fabrizio conducted the survey.
According to the survey, white suburban women believe that the economy is “heading in the wrong direction” with 54 percent of them thinking that the nation is already in a recession.
The Journal discovered that dangers to democracy and the Supreme Court overturning Roe v. Wade were the top two concerns for these voters, each receiving 34% of the vote (16 percent).
Despite being an independent who often casts a divided vote, Dana Gianassi of Lincoln, California, told the Journal that she has already voted a full Republican ticket this campaign.
She remarked, “Right now I feel the Democrats are ruining our country,”
The survey of suburban women found that only 38% of them approved of Biden, down from 51% in August.
“If the 2024 election were between Mr. Biden and former President Donald Trump, 41 percent of white suburban women said they would vote for Mr. Biden and 52 percent Mr. Trump. In August, 55 percent said Mr. Biden and 39 percent Mr. Trump,” the Journal published.
Kellyanne Conway, a Republican pollster and former White House assistant, claimed on Fox News’ “America’s Newsroom” on Tuesday that a “realignment” toward the GOP could be seen in the polling shift amongst suburban women and Latinos.
“The most important shift in that poll, according to The Wall Street Journal, is that suburban women — 20 percent of the electorate — have shifted 26 points to the Republicans. And working-class Latino voters are now also voting Republican,” according to Conway, who successfully ran the 2016 campaign for former President Donald Trump.
— America's Newsroom (@AmericaNewsroom) November 1, 2022
According to Conway, “That’s not just a Republican wave, that’s a realignment of voters to a conservative philosophy.”
From October 22 until October 26, The Journal polled 1,500 registered voters.
The news source reported, “The sample of white suburban women was smaller and has a margin of error of plus or minus 5.7 percentage points or 8 percentage points on some of the policy questions.”
More on this story via The Western Journal