As Tuesday’s Republican primary approaches, a new poll shows Wyoming Representative Liz Cheney losing her rival Harriet Hageman by a significant margin.
The University of Wyoming poll found that 57 percent of respondents supported Hageman, who is backed by former President Donald Trump.
Cheney, who has viciously lambasted Trump over the Capitol invasion, garnered 28% of the vote.
Ten percent of those polled were undecided, while three other contenders received the remaining votes.
Brian Harnisch, director of the survey center at the University of Wyoming, stated in a press release that Hageman leads by almost 50 points among prospective Republican primary voters. Only 15% of Republicans expected to vote in the primary supported Cheney.
According to the Real Clear Politics average of polls in the race, Hageman has a 25.5 percent advantage.
“The race for the Republican nomination appears to be a referendum on Cheney, as it usually is when an incumbent seeks reelection,” said Jim King, an associate professor of political science at the University of Washington.
41% of those who did not support Cheney stated that their vote was against her.
“When you have a candidate, especially Hageman, with a significant lead, but nearly two-fifths of her support comes from individuals who oppose the incumbent, it obviously puts us in a referendum kind of election, and Cheney is losing the referendum,” King told Wyoming Public Media.
“For Cheney to be successful, in particular, she needs to do very well among independents, and she’s not doing well enough to overcome Hageman’s advantage among Republican identifiers,” he noted.
Ninety-eight percent of Democrats who stated they would register as Republicans and vote in the Republican primary favored Cheney.
“There has been much discussion in the media about Democrats voting in the Republican primary, but this group is rather small,” King said.
More on this story via The Western Journal:
“Back-of-the-napkin math says that number could represent as many as 20,000 votes in the GOP primary from currently registered Democrats, compared to as many as 200,000-plus votes from registered Republicans,” Harnisch said.
“There has been much talk in the media about Democrats crossing over and voting in the Republican primary; this group is not especially large,” CONTINUE READING…